Evidence
![](https://psychiatryai.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/psychiatryai_com.webp)
PLoS One. 2024 Jul 10;19(7):e0305974. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305974. eCollection 2024.
ABSTRACT
Child maltreatment is a widespread problem with significant costs for both victims and society. In this retrospective cohort study, we develop predictive risk models using Danish administrative data to predict removal decisions among referred children and assess the effectiveness of caseworkers in identifying children at risk of maltreatment. The study analyzes 195,639 referrals involving 102,309 children Danish Child Protection Services received from April 2016 to December 2017. We implement four machine learning models of increasing complexity, incorporating extensive background information on each child and their family. Our best-performing model exhibits robust predictive power, with an AUC-ROC score exceeding 87%, indicating its ability to consistently rank referred children based on their likelihood of being removed. Additionally, we find strong positive correlations between the model’s predictions and various adverse child outcomes, such as crime, physical and mental health issues, and school absenteeism. Furthermore, we demonstrate that predictive risk models can enhance caseworkers’ decision-making processes by reducing classification errors and identifying at-risk children at an earlier stage, enabling timely interventions and potentially improving outcomes for vulnerable children.
PMID:38985689 | DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0305974
![Google](https://www.google.com/images/branding/googlelogo/2x/googlelogo_light_color_92x30dp.png)
![Google Keep](https://www.gstatic.com/images/branding/product/1x/keep_48dp.png)
![Share on Linkedin](https://psychiatryai.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/linkedin-logo-png-2048-1.png)
Estimated reading time: 4 minute(s)
Latest: Psychiatryai.com #RAISR4D Evidence
![](/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/bd462cc11bcf0bd0d0d6f1d0f8b7cd04-modified-1.png)
Cool Evidence: Engaging Young People and Students in Real-World Evidence
![](/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/bd462cc11bcf0bd0d0d6f1d0f8b7cd04-modified-1.png)
Real-Time Evidence Search [Psychiatry]
![](/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/pubmed.png)
AI Research
![](/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/Il5nR_nf_400x400-modified-1.png)
Predictive risk modeling for child maltreatment detection and enhanced decision-making: Evidence from Danish administrative data
![](https://psychiatryai.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/psychiatryai_com.webp)
🌐 90 Days
AI Virtual Reality Related Evidence Matrix
Detecting and preventing child maltreatment in primary care and PHNs' role-a cross-sectional study Maternal childhood emotional abuse increases cardiovascular responses to children's emotional facial expressions Pilot examination of independent and interactive effects of maltreatment and neighborhood risk on child attachment Explainable machine learning on baseline MRI predicts multiple sclerosis trajectory descriptors Evaluating the real-world implementation of the Family Nurse Partnership in England: a data linkage study Moderation by better sleep of the association among childhood maltreatment, neuroticism, and depressive symptoms in the adult volunteers: A moderated mediation model Prediction of robo-advisory acceptance in banking services using tree-based algorithms Characterizing medical patients with delirium: A cohort study comparing ICD-10 codes and a validated chart review method Comparison of model feature importance statistics to identify covariates that contribute most to model accuracy in prediction of insomnia Maternal insecure attachment representation as a long-term risk factor for disrupted mother-child-interaction and child mental health A silent scream in the pediatric emergency department: child abuse and neglect Longitudinal trajectories of suicidal ideation among child welfare-involved 7- to 12-year-old children Developing a prediction model to identify people with severe mental illness without regular contact to their GP - a study based on data from the Danish national registers Gene - maltreatment interplay in adult ADHD symptoms: main role of a gene-environment correlation effect in a Brazilian population longitudinal study Childhood maltreatment, parenting style and anxiety in Chinese youths: A case-control study Predicting the Population Risk of Suicide Using Routinely Collected Health Administrative Data in Quebec, Canada: Model-Based Synthetic Estimation Study Childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts in major depression and bipolar disorders in South Korea: A prospective nationwide cohort study Childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts in major depression and bipolar disorders in South Korea: A prospective nationwide cohort study Childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts in major depression and bipolar disorders in South Korea: A prospective nationwide cohort study Application of a transparent artificial intelligence algorithm for US adults in the obese category of weight Prospective and Retrospective Measures of Child Maltreatment and Their Association With Psychopathology: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Victimization, polyvictimization, and depression symptoms among immigrants and native children and youth in Chile Short-term prediction of PM2.5 concentration by hybrid neural network based on sequence decomposition Self-stigma mediates the relationships between childhood maltreatment and symptom levels of PTSD, depression, and anxiety Mental health in children conceived by Assisted Reproductive Technologies (ARTs): Insights from a longitudinal study of Australian children Longitudinal prediction of primary school children's COVID-related future anxiety in the second year of the pandemic in Germany Analysis and interpretability of machine learning models to classify thyroid disease Maternal selenium deficiency during pregnancy in association with autism and ADHD traits in children: the Odense Child Cohort Maternal selenium deficiency during pregnancy in association with autism and ADHD traits in children: the Odense Child Cohort What do we know about how children and adolescents conceptualise violence? A systematic review and meta-synthesis of qualitative studies from sub-Saharan Africa A family perspective for the mechanism of parent-child conflict on maternal anxiety in Chinese children with autism Emergency Department Presentations for Injuries Following Agency-Notified Child Maltreatment: Results From the Childhood Adversity and Lifetime Morbidity (CALM) Study Emergency Department Presentations for Injuries Following Agency-Notified Child Maltreatment: Results From the Childhood Adversity and Lifetime Morbidity (CALM) Study The predictive accuracy of machine learning for the risk of death in HIV patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis Sexual violence against children and adolescents in Parana State: geospatial analysis and main socioeconomic indicators Levodopa-induced dyskinesia in Parkinson's disease: Insights from cross-cohort prognostic analysis using machine learning What predicts citation counts and translational impact in headache research? A machine learning analysis Quality of life in children with epilepsy: The role of parental mental health and sleep disruption Prevalence of school related violence in seven countries: A cross-sectional survey Enhancing early autism diagnosis through machine learning: Exploring raw motion data for classification Stacking with Recursive Feature Elimination-Isolation Forest for classification of diabetes mellitus Development and validation of a machine learning model to predict postoperative delirium using a nationwide database: A retrospective, observational study Seizures, medical child abuse, and the pediatric neurologist Predictive models of Alzheimer's disease dementia risk in older adults with mild cognitive impairment: a systematic review and critical appraisal A Systematic Review of Artificial Intelligence Models for Time-to-Event Outcome Applied in Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction Precision in Prevention: Tailoring Single-Use Negative Pressure Wound Therapy Utilization Through Artificial Intelligence-Based Surgical Site Complications Risk and Cost Modeling Pediatric cardiac surgery: machine learning models for postoperative complication prediction Development and external validation of a logistic and a penalized logistic model using machine-learning techniques to predict suicide attempts: A multicenter prospective cohort study in Korea A refined approach for evaluating small datasets via binary classification using machine learning Machine learning models for assessing risk factors affecting health care costs: 12-month exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation Focus-marking in a tonal language: Prosodic differences between Cantonese-speaking children with and without autism spectrum disorder School performance in children with prenatal drug exposure and out-of-home care in NSW, Australia: a retrospective population-based cohort study The amygdala volume moderates the relationship between childhood maltreatment and callous-unemotional traits in adolescents with conduct disorder Associations between sleep problems in children with ADHD and parental insomnia and ADHD symptoms Associations between sleep problems in children with ADHD and parental insomnia and ADHD symptoms Burden of Mental Disorders and Suicide Attributable to Childhood Maltreatment Burden of Mental Disorders and Suicide Attributable to Childhood Maltreatment Associations between sleep problems in children with ADHD and parental insomnia and ADHD symptoms Mindless to Mindful Parenting? Videofeedback-Enhanced Psychotherapy for Violence-Exposed Mothers and Their Young Children Noncommunicable disease risk behaviors and protective factors among children in Samoa: Retrospective trend analysis of global school-based health surveys in 2011 and 2017 Using machine learning to distinguish between authentic and imitation Jackson Pollock poured paintings: A tile-driven approach to computer vision Factors associated with parent-teacher hyperactivity/inattention screening discrepancy: Findings from a UK national sample Valproate Use During Spermatogenesis and Risk to Offspring Proactive Identification of Patients with Diabetes at Risk of Uncontrolled Outcomes during a Diabetes Management Program: Conceptualization and Development Study Using Machine Learning
Evidence Blueprint
Predictive risk modeling for child maltreatment detection and enhanced decision-making: Evidence from Danish administrative data
![](https://psychiatryai.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/psychiatryai_com.webp)
☊ AI-Driven Related Evidence Nodes
(recent articles with at least 5 words in title)
More Evidence
![](https://psychiatryai.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/psychiatryai_com.webp)
Predictive risk modeling for child maltreatment detection and enhanced decision-making: Evidence from Danish administrative data
🌐 365 Days
AI Virtual Reality Related Evidence Matrix
The reciprocal relationship between child maltreatment and children's bullying victimization in China Levels of Involvement with Child Protection Services Associated with Early Adolescent Police Contact as a Victim and Person of Interest Detecting and preventing child maltreatment in primary care and PHNs' role-a cross-sectional study Maternal childhood emotional abuse increases cardiovascular responses to children's emotional facial expressions Association of maternal risk factors with infant maltreatment: an administrative data cohort study Pilot examination of independent and interactive effects of maltreatment and neighborhood risk on child attachment Explainable machine learning on baseline MRI predicts multiple sclerosis trajectory descriptors Evaluating the real-world implementation of the Family Nurse Partnership in England: a data linkage study Moderation by better sleep of the association among childhood maltreatment, neuroticism, and depressive symptoms in the adult volunteers: A moderated mediation model Admissions for psychosis following agency-notified child maltreatment at 40-year-follow-up: Results from the Childhood Adversity and Lifetime Morbidity (CALM) cohort Measurement Models of Child Maltreatment and Associations With Suicidal Ideation Endorsement by Youth in Foster Care: A Multiverse Analytic Approach Child maltreatment among victims of violent death: an analysis of national violent death reporting system data, 2014-2018 Depressive Symptoms in Later Life in China: Situating "Long Arm" of Child Physical Maltreatment Within a Family Context Untreated Psychiatric and Substance Use Disorders Among Caregivers With Children Reported to Child Protective Services Development of a family-based treatment for co-occurring intimate partner violence and child maltreatment: the MST-IPV model A film-based intervention to reduce child maltreatment among migrant and displaced families from Myanmar: Protocol of a pragmatic cluster randomized controlled trial Explainable artificial intelligence models for predicting risk of suicide using health administrative data in Quebec Prediction of robo-advisory acceptance in banking services using tree-based algorithms Pathways between Child Maltreatment, Psychological Symptoms, and Life Satisfaction: A Network Analysis in Adolescent Inpatients Unique and shared risk factors for early childhood victimisation and polyvictimisation in a Brazilian population-based birth cohort Characterizing medical patients with delirium: A cohort study comparing ICD-10 codes and a validated chart review method Sex-specific joint trajectories of deviant peer affiliation and externalizing problems from middle childhood to early adolescence: the predictive role of family maltreatment Investigating the role of alexithymia in the association between cumulative childhood maltreatment and teen dating violence victimization Comparison of model feature importance statistics to identify covariates that contribute most to model accuracy in prediction of insomnia Developing a risk prediction model for death at first suicide attempt-Identifying risk factors from Thailand's national suicide surveillance system data Childhood maltreatment history and trauma-specific predictors of parenting stress in new fathers Maternal insecure attachment representation as a long-term risk factor for disrupted mother-child-interaction and child mental health A silent scream in the pediatric emergency department: child abuse and neglect Longitudinal trajectories of suicidal ideation among child welfare-involved 7- to 12-year-old children Sensitive Periods for the Effect of Child Maltreatment on Psychopathology Symptoms in Adolescence Danish healthcare offer for children and adolescents with gender dysphoria Longitudinal relationship between child maltreatment, bullying victimization, depression, and nonsuicidal self-injury among left-behind children in China: 2-year follow-up Fathers' mental Ill-health and child maltreatment: A systematic review of the literature Developing a prediction model to identify people with severe mental illness without regular contact to their GP - a study based on data from the Danish national registers Gene - maltreatment interplay in adult ADHD symptoms: main role of a gene-environment correlation effect in a Brazilian population longitudinal study Suicide attempt and death by suicide among parents of young individuals with cancer: A population-based study in Denmark and Sweden Child sexual abuse and its determinants among children in Addis Ababa Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analysis Socioeconomic and demographic risk factors of autism spectrum disorder among children and adolescents in Bangladesh: Evidence from a cross-sectional study in 2022 Effects of service dogs on children with ASD's symptoms and parents' well-being: On the importance of considering those effects with a more systemic perspective The evaluation of emotional maltreatment's effect on family dynamics and suicidal behaviors Prediction of opioid-related outcomes in a medicaid surgical population: Evidence to guide postoperative opiate therapy and monitoring Childhood maltreatment, parenting style and anxiety in Chinese youths: A case-control study Predicting the Population Risk of Suicide Using Routinely Collected Health Administrative Data in Quebec, Canada: Model-Based Synthetic Estimation Study Examining the Biological Impacts of Parent-Child Relationship Dynamics on Preschool-Aged Children who have Experienced Adversity Associations between child maltreatment and hospital admissions for alcohol and other substance use-related disorders up to 40 years of age: Results from the Childhood Adversity and Lifetime Morbidity study Childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts in major depression and bipolar disorders in South Korea: A prospective nationwide cohort study Childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts in major depression and bipolar disorders in South Korea: A prospective nationwide cohort study Childhood maltreatment and suicide attempts in major depression and bipolar disorders in South Korea: A prospective nationwide cohort study Using electronic health record data to predict future self-harm or suicidal ideation in young people treated by child and youth mental health services Application of a transparent artificial intelligence algorithm for US adults in the obese category of weight Prospective and Retrospective Measures of Child Maltreatment and Their Association With Psychopathology: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis A critical examination of Danish norms for the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire (SDQ) An interpretable machine learning framework for opioid overdose surveillance from emergency medical services records Sexual Violence against Children with Disabilities: A Danish National Birth Cohort Prospective Study Victimization, polyvictimization, and depression symptoms among immigrants and native children and youth in Chile Prevalence and incidence of personality disorders among children and adolescents in Danish mental health services: a nationwide register study Short-term prediction of PM2.5 concentration by hybrid neural network based on sequence decomposition Emotional Abuse in Childhood and Adolescence: Biological Embedding and Clinical Implications Machine learning in internet financial risk management: A systematic literature review Psychological maltreatment, meaning-centered coping, psychological flexibility, and suicide cognitions: A moderated mediation model Predicting the risk of hypertension using machine learning algorithms: A cross sectional study in Ethiopia Self-stigma mediates the relationships between childhood maltreatment and symptom levels of PTSD, depression, and anxiety Commentary: Early intervention for conduct problems as a child protection strategy - reflections on Nobakht et al. (2023) Early Prediction of Autistic Spectrum Disorder Using Developmental Surveillance Data