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A Forensic Risk Score for Femicide Prevention: Development and Exploratory Application in 103 Medicolegal Cases in Brazil

AI Summary
  • Retrospective medicolegal study applied Forensic Risk Score (ETR) to 103 confirmed femicide cases in Brazil, using anonymised official and forensic documents.
  • Lethal mechanisms were predominantly sharp force, firearm injury, and asphyxia/strangulation, comprising 85.4% of cases; vital topography present in 93.2% of cases.
  • High and Critical ETR classifications constituted 58.3% of the sample; ETR offered as exploratory lesion-centred forensic classification, not a validated predictive model.
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Violence Against Women. 2026 Sep 6:10778012261484124. doi: 10.1177/10778012261484124. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

This retrospective, descriptive, exploratory medicolegal study examined the Forensic Risk Score (ETR-Escore Técnico de Risco), a structured, literature-informed, lesion-centered forensic risk classification framework, in 103 confirmed femicide cases in Brazil. Cases were coded from anonymized official and forensic documentary data. The mean victim age was 34.0 years. Sharp-force injury, firearm injury, and asphyxia/strangulation accounted for 85.4% of lethal mechanisms. Vital or multiple vital topography was documented in 93.2% of cases. High and Critical ETR classifications represented 58.3% of the sample. The ETR is presented as an exploratory forensic classification framework, not a validated predictive model.

PMID:42701334 | DOI:10.1177/10778012261484124

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